Knowledge Center Fundamental Analysis
Commodities are raw materials or primary agricultural products that are traded on exchanges. Examples include gold, oil, wheat, and natural gas. Commodities are the raw materials used to create products consumed in everyday life worldwide. A product should have a commercial value to be termed as a commodity. Commodities can be traded on the global marketplace as a diversified investment portfolio.
The commodity market refers to a financial market where various commodities are bought and sold. These commodities can include physical goods like gold, silver, crude oil, agricultural products, and more. The trading of commodities often takes place on specialized exchanges such as the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) in India.
In the commodity market, participants engage in buying and selling contracts for the future delivery of these commodities. The market serves as a platform for producers, consumers, and investors to manage the risk associated with price fluctuations in commodities. It plays a crucial role in the global economy by providing a mechanism for price discovery and facilitating the transfer of risk between different market participants.
Commodities can be broadly categorized into three main types:
Hard Commodities: These are natural resources that are extracted or mined, and they include tangible goods. Examples include gold, silver, oil, natural gas, and metals like copper and aluminium.
Soft Commodities: Soft commodities are agricultural products or other goods that are grown rather than mined. Examples include wheat, corn, soybeans, coffee, sugar, and cotton.
Energy Commodities: This category includes commodities related to energy production and consumption. It encompasses both hard and soft commodities, such as crude oil and natural gas.
Commodities serve as essential components of manufactured goods. They are building blocks for both industrial and domestic products and foodstuffs. They are shipped worldwide to meet demand because not all countries can produce every commodity they need. The aspects such as climate, season, and resources play a vital role in producing and consuming commodities. Demand is influenced by a link between economic factors and consumer habits. Hence the commodity prices are likely to fluctuate highly. Commodities can format the global political economy and impact the lives and livelihoods of people.
The world community is concerned over the environmental and health costs of the production and consumption of certain commodities and their impact on society. The physical marketplace for trading commodities is replaced by virtual platforms provided by commodities exchanges worldwide.
Pre-independence, India's flourishing market for gold, silver, oil, etc. Indian Government stopped commodity trading around 1960, and it was re-introduced in 2003. There are about fifty commodities markets in the world dealing in close to 100 primary products. There are three national level and 24 regional exchanges in India that allow trading in almost sixty commodities.
The two main national commodity exchanges in India:
Overview: MCX is one of the leading commodity futures trading exchanges in India. It was established in 2003 and is headquartered in Mumbai.
Commodities Traded: MCX facilitates the trading of a wide range of commodities, including precious metals (gold and silver), base metals (copper, aluminium, zinc), energy products (crude oil, natural gas), and agricultural commodities (soybean, cotton, guar seed, etc.).
Platform: MCX provides an electronic trading platform that enables participants to trade in commodity futures contracts. The exchange has contributed significantly to the development of commodity derivatives markets in India.
Overview: NCDEX is another major commodity exchange in India, established in 2003. It is headquartered in Mumbai and focuses primarily on agricultural commodities.
Commodities Traded: NCDEX specializes in agricultural commodities such as cereals, pulses, oilseeds, spices, and other agri-products. It provides a platform for farmers, traders, and other market participants to hedge against price volatility.
Electronic Trading: Similar to MCX, NCDEX operates an electronic trading platform that allows seamless trading of commodity futures contracts. This platform enhances transparency and efficiency in commodity trading.
Both MCX and NCDEX play vital roles in the Indian commodity markets, providing a regulated environment for price discovery, risk management, and investment opportunities. Traders, investors, and businesses use these exchanges to participate in the dynamic and diverse commodity markets in India. The commodities market can be the spot market or the derivative market. Spot market involves buying or selling a specific commodity with immediate delivery. The actual users and the producers do this.
Commodity trading encompasses various types of activities, each serving different purposes for participants in the market. Here are some key types of commodity trading:
Description: Spot trading involves the immediate exchange of a commodity for cash. The transaction is settled "on the spot," and the buyer pays for and takes delivery of the commodity immediately.
Purpose: Spot trading is common in physical commodity markets where immediate delivery is feasible. It is often used for goods with a short shelf life or for urgent transactions.
Description: Futures trading involves buying or selling standardized contracts to deliver a specific quantity of a commodity at a predetermined price on a future date.
Purpose: Futures trading allows participants to hedge against price fluctuations, speculate on future price movements, and manage risk associated with the production or consumption of commodities.
Description: Options trading involves the buying or selling of options contracts, which give the holder the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell a commodity at a predetermined price within a specified time frame.
Purpose: Options provide flexibility for risk management and speculation. Traders can use options to hedge against price volatility or to take advantage of potential price movements.
Description: Similar to futures contracts, forward contracts are agreements to buy or sell a commodity at a future date, but these contracts are customizable and are often traded over-the-counter (OTC).
Purpose: Forward contracts are flexible and can be tailored to the specific needs of the parties involved. They are commonly used for transactions that don't fit the standardized nature of futures contracts.
Description: Commodity swaps involve the exchange of cash flows or commodities between two parties over a specified period. This can include exchanging fixed-rate payments for floating-rate payments or swapping one commodity for another.
Purpose: Swaps are often used to manage price risk, achieve better financing terms, or adjust the composition of a portfolio.
Description: With technological advancements, commodity trading has become accessible through online platforms. Traders can execute orders, monitor market trends, and manage portfolios electronically.
Purpose: Online trading provides convenience and real-time access to commodity markets, allowing a broader range of participants, including retail investors, to engage in trading activities.
Each type of commodity trading serves different needs and objectives, catering to the diverse requirements of market participants, including producers, consumers, speculators, and investors.
Price discovery and efficient price risk management are the chief objectives of any futures exchange market. A lot of businesses and services can function smoothly. Those who trade in the commodities being offered in the exchange and those who have nothing to do with futures trading are, benefitted.
Price Discovery
Price discovery is based on the views on specific market information, the demand and supply equilibrium, weather forecasts, expert opinions, and comments, inflation rates, Government policies, market dynamics, hopes and fears, and buyers and sellers conduct trading at futures exchanges.
The execution of trade between buyers and sellers leads to an assessment of the fair value of a particular commodity.
Price Risk Management:
Hedging is the most common method of price risk management. This method offers price risk that is genetic in the spot market. This functions by taking an equal but opposite position in the futures market.
Futures markets protect the adverse price changes. This may cut the profitability of their business. Hedging benefits involve trading commodities like farmers, processors, merchandisers, manufacturers, exporters, importers, etc.
1. Import- Export Competitiveness:
The futures market helps the exporters to hedge their price risk. Traders involved in physical trade internationally intend to buy forwards. Physical market purchases may lead them to the risk of price risk resulting in losses. The futures market helps the exporters to hedge their proposed purchases by temporarily substituting for actual purchases till the right time to buy in the physical market. It would be time-consuming and costly physical transactions without a futures market.
2. Predictable Pricing:
The flexibility of the price regulates the demand for certain commodities. With the emerging free entry of imports, the manufacturers have to make sure that the prices should be steady to safeguard their market share. The manufacturer can be captured between severe short-term price movements of oils and the necessity to maintain price stability in the absence of a futures market. Sufficient financial reserves could be utilized for making other profitable investments.
3. Benefits for Farmers/Agriculturalists
In the absence of a futures market, price instability has a direct bearing on farmers. Large reserves to cover against unfavourable price fluctuations are not required. More returns could be expected on produce, reducing the risk premiums associated with the marketing or processing margins. The increase in price by traders/processors depends mainly on the price information accessible to the farmers. The farmers are benefited as one of the aims of the futures exchange is to make available these prices as far as possible. The market-determined price information primarily influences production decisions.
4. Credit Accessibility:
It becomes a risky business activity to fund without proper risk management tools. Repayment of loans can become difficult with even a tiny movement in prices. Banks are reluctant to fund commodity traders, especially those who do not manage price risks.
The interest rates are higher when the banks come forward to fund those who do not manage price risks. Hedging, which is possible through futures markets, would cut down the discount rate in commodity lending.
5. Improved Product Quality:
A valid reason to upgrade and enhance the commodity's quality to grade acceptable by the exchange is the warehouses enabling delivery with grading facilities and related benefits. It ensures uniform standardization of commodity trade, including the terms of the quality standard: the quality certificates issued by the exchange-certified warehouses can become the rules for physical trade.
Commodity options are financial derivatives that provide the holder with the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell a specific quantity of a commodity at a predetermined price within a specified time frame. Here are key details about commodity options trading:
Underlying Commodities:
Commodity options are tied to underlying physical commodities. These can include precious metals (gold, silver), energy products (crude oil, natural gas), agricultural commodities (wheat, corn, soybeans), and more.
Call and Put Options:
Call Options: Give the holder the right to buy the underlying commodity at a specified price (strike price) before or at the expiration date.
Put Options: Give the holder the right to sell the underlying commodity at a specified price (strike price) before or at the expiration date.
Strike Price:
The strike price is the price at which the option holder can buy (for call options) or sell (for put options) the underlying commodity.
Expiration Date:
Options have a limited lifespan, and the expiration date is the date when the option contract expires. After this date, the option is no longer valid.
Option Premium:
Option buyers pay a premium to the option seller for the rights conveyed by the option. The premium is the price of the option and is determined by factors such as the current commodity price, volatility, time to expiration, and interest rates.
American vs. European Options:
American options can be exercised at any time before or at the expiration date, while European options can only be exercised at the expiration date.
Hedging:
Participants in the commodity market, including producers and consumers, often use options to hedge against price fluctuations. For example, a farmer might buy a put option to protect against a drop in the price of the crops they plan to sell.
Speculation:
Traders and investors may use commodity options for speculation, aiming to profit from anticipated price movements. Call options can be used for bullish strategies, while put options can be used for bearish strategies.
Risk Management:
Options provide a way to manage risk because the most a buyer can lose is the premium paid for the option. Sellers, on the other hand, face potentially unlimited losses, and they often use risk management strategies.
Liquidity and Exchanges:
Commodity options are traded on organized exchanges, providing liquidity and a transparent market. These exchanges may have standardized contracts with specific terms.
Online Trading:
Like other forms of trading, commodity options trading has become accessible through online platforms, allowing participants to execute trades, monitor markets, and manage portfolios electronically.
Commodity options provide flexibility and strategic alternatives for market participants, allowing them to tailor their risk exposure and investment objectives based on their views of future price movements in the commodity markets.
Profit Potential:
Numerous factors, such as global infrastructure projects, impact commodity prices, offering the potential for significant returns.
Positive movements in company stocks can further influence commodity prices.
Inflation Hedge:
Commodities often serve as a hedge against inflation, demonstrating strong performance during periods of high inflation.
While more volatile than other investments, they can act as a protective measure against inflationary pressures.
Diversification of Investment Portfolio:
Building a well-rounded investment portfolio involves ideal asset allocation.
Commodities contribute to diversification, allowing investors to balance their portfolios with raw materials alongside stocks and bonds.
Transparent Trading Process:
Commodity futures trading operates with transparency, ensuring a fair price influenced by widespread participation.
Reflects diverse perspectives from a large number of market participants dealing with the commodity.
Profitable Yet Risky Returns:
High liquidity can make commodities riskier as investments, leading to both substantial profits and significant losses for companies.
Cushion Against Market Fluctuations:
During periods of a depreciating currency, the need for more money to buy commodities can act as a hedge.
Investors, seeking refuge from market uncertainties, may shift from stocks and bonds to commodities, impacting commodity prices positively.
Lower Margin Trading:
Traders can deposit a minimal percentage (5 to 10%) of the total contract value as a margin with the broker.
Compared to other asset classes, lower margins enable individuals to invest in larger positions with relatively less capital.
What is commodity trading?
Commodity trading involves buying and selling standardized goods, such as metals, agricultural products, and energy resources, on organized exchanges. It allows participants to speculate on price movements or hedge against future price fluctuations.
How does commodity trading work?
Traders can buy or sell commodities through spot transactions for immediate delivery or through futures contracts, which involve agreeing to buy or sell at a predetermined price in the future. Prices are influenced by supply and demand factors, geopolitical events, and economic indicators.
Who participates in commodity trading?
Participants in commodity trading include producers, consumers, speculators, and hedgers. Producers use it to sell their goods, consumers to secure supplies, speculators for profit, and hedgers to mitigate the risk of price fluctuations.
Where does commodity trading take place in India?
Commodity trading in India occurs on regulated exchanges like the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) and the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX). These exchanges provide a platform for transparent and organized trading.
What are the risks involved in commodity trading?
Risks in commodity trading include price volatility, geopolitical events, weather conditions affecting agricultural products, and economic factors influencing demand. Traders often use risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, to mitigate potential losses.