Spotlight

Indian equity markets are expected to remain cautious, with elevated crude oil prices continuing to dominate the macro backdrop. Escalating geopolitical tensions have kept energy markets on edge, with WTI crude briefly touching the $93-per-barrel mark before holding in the $92–93 range. For India, persistently high oil prices remain a key risk, given their potential to widen the import bill, stoke inflationary pressures and strain the current-account balance.  
 
The geopolitical backdrop remains fragile as the U.S.-Iran conflict shows few signs of easing. Uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz and the timing of its full reopening continues to underpin concerns over global oil supplies and broader market sentiment.  

Gold remained range-bound as investors weighed safe-haven demand arising from Middle East tensions against renewed expectations of tighter U.S. monetary policy. The tug-of-war between geopolitical risk and higher Treasury yields continues to define bullion's near-term direction.
 
Asian markets are trading on a mixed note, with Japan's Nikkei 225 largely flat while South Korea's Kospi is up more than 0.5%. The mixed regional performance suggests investors remain selective in taking on risk as they continue to monitor crude oil prices, geopolitical developments and the outlook for U.S. monetary policy.

Technical Views

Nifty 50

Nifty 50 is likely to remain under pressure, with the index continuing to trade in a weak technical setup after closing below the 23,800 mark in the previous session. A sustained move back above the 24,000 mark would be crucial to revive upward momentum. A decisive breakout above 24,200 could significantly strengthen bullish momentum and open the path higher.
 
On the downside, 23,750–23,700 serves as the immediate support shelf, with 23,600 as the more critical floor; a break below this zone would expose the index to deeper weakness. Overall, the near-term technical outlook remains cautious to bearish.

Bank Nifty

Bank Nifty is likely to witness cautious trading, with the index holding near the crucial 57,000 support zone after facing selling pressure at higher levels in the previous session. While the index has shown relatively better resilience, sustained buying interest will be required to improve the near-term technical structure. On the upside, resistance sits at 57,600–57,800, with a decisive move above 58,000 needed to meaningfully shift the structure toward a stronger bullish setup.  
 
On the downside, immediate support is placed at 57,000; a sustained break below 57,000 could trigger further weakness and pull the index toward the 56,800–56,600 zone, a level that also coincides with the 200-day EMA. Overall, the near-term outlook for Bank Nifty remains cautious  and Holding above 57,000 will therefore be important to prevent further deterioration in the short-term structure.