CrudeOil
Tuesday 16 December, 2025
Short term - Technical Outlook
MCX Crude Oil on the 4-hour chart is hovering near 5,145 after breaking down from a rising channel and sliding steadily towards the horizontal support around 5,108. The post-breakdown stretch of lower highs and lower lows keeps the near-term trend weak, with intraday bias favouring sellers as long as prices remain below recent swing highs.Key support now sits in the 5,120–5,100 band, a demand zone where prices had previously bounced and which is currently being retested. A decisive move beneath 5,100 could pave the way for further downside towards 5,050 and then the psychologically important 5,000 mark in the coming sessions. If the 5,100 area holds instead, price action is likely to stay range-bound between roughly 5,100 and 5,230, while a breakdown would quickly extend the decline towards 5,050–5,000.
Short term Research Report Call
Buy Above: 5110 | Targets: 5190 , 5230 | Stop-loss: 5070
Sell Below: 5050 | Targets: 5000 , 4980 | Stop-loss: 5100.
Short term Chart
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Validity
18/12/2025
Pivot
5223.67
Buy Above
5235.99
R1
5252.93
R2
5270.64
R3
5302.21
Stop Loss
5231.37
Pivot
5223.67
(All values are in INR)
Sell Below
5211.35
S1
5194.41
S2
5176.70
S3
5145.13
Stop Loss
5215.97
Gold
Tuesday 16 December, 2025
Short term - Technical Outlook
MCX Gold continues to trade within a well-defined rising channel on the 4-hour chart, maintaining a strong medium-term bullish structure despite mild intraday consolidation near higher levels. After the recent sharp rally, prices are currently stabilizing around 134,000–134,200, indicating healthy consolidation rather than distribution. The ability of Gold to hold above the prior breakout zone of 132,400–132,500 reinforces the positive bias for the session.From a technical standpoint, the trend remains bullish as long as prices stay within the channel and above key supports. The upper channel resistance is placed near 135,200–135,500, while immediate support is seen around 133,200–132,800.
Short term Research Report Call
Buy Above: 134600 | Targets: 135300 , 136000 | Stop-loss: 134050
Sell Below: 132900 | Targets: 131900 , 130800 | Stop-loss: 133450.
Short term Chart
Click here to view PDF
Validity
05/02/2026
Pivot
133720.00
Buy Above
134198.08
R1
134855.44
R2
135542.68
R3
136767.76
Stop Loss
134018.80
Pivot
133720.00
(All values are in INR)
Sell Below
133241.92
S1
132584.56
S2
131897.32
S3
130672.24
Stop Loss
133421.20
NaturalGas
Tuesday 16 December, 2025
Short term - Technical Outlook
MCX Natural Gas has transitioned into a corrective-to-consolidative phase after decisively breaking down from its rising channel on the 4-hour chart. The sharp rejection from the 480–490 zone confirmed trend exhaustion at higher levels, and prices have since retraced steadily. The recent decline has now brought the contract toward the critical support zone of 368–375, which aligns with a prior demand area and a key horizontal support visible on the chart.Price action near 370 suggests short-term stabilization, but the broader structure remains bearish-to-neutral unless the price reclaims the broken channel zone. Momentum remains subdued, indicating that today’s session is likely to be range-bound with volatility around support.
Short term Research Report Call
Buy Above: 370 | Targets: 385 , 395 | Stop-loss: 360
Sell Below: 360 | Targets: 345 , 330 | Stop-loss: 370.
Short term Chart
Click here to view PDF
Validity
26/12/2025
Pivot
377.27
Buy Above
380.00
R1
383.76
R2
387.70
R3
394.71
Stop Loss
378.98
Pivot
377.27
(All values are in INR)
Sell Below
374.53
S1
370.77
S2
366.84
S3
359.82
Stop Loss
375.56
Market Commentary
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Note: Above information is not recommending any buy or sell position, this is for your reference only and trading or investment in commodities & derivatives is subject to market risk.
Disclaimer: Investment in securities/commodities market subject to market risk, read all the related documents carefully before investing/trading.
Analyst Certification: I/We, Ayushi Jain Research Analyst, authors, and the name subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. NISM Research Analyst registration number – NISM-201900015194.
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