Nifty 50 prediction today

Indian equities opened on a cautious note and have continued to weaken, extending the recent downtrend as elevated crude oil prices, driven by persistent geopolitical tensions and concerns over energy supplies, weigh on risk appetite. WTI crude is trading around $94 a barrel, keeping broader macroeconomic concerns firmly in focus.

The pressure is also being reflected in the currency market, with the Indian rupee breaching the ?96-per-dollar mark and trading around ?96.10. A combination of higher oil prices and rupee depreciation could amplify imported inflation risks and add to broader macroeconomic pressures.

With uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-Iran conflict and the potential for further disruption to regional energy flows, markets are likely to remain sensitive to developments in the Middle East. Further movements in crude oil prices and the rupee are therefore likely to remain key determinants of near-term investor sentiment and the direction of domestic equities.

Technical View

Nifty 50

Nifty 50 opened near the 22,732 mark with a mild gap-down and has continued to weaken, maintaining a weak intraday structure. Sustained selling pressure has kept the index below key levels, with a decisive break below the 22,500 zone likely to intensify the downside and expose the index to the 22,300–22,000 region.

On the upside, 22,800 is likely to act as the immediate resistance level, while a sustained move above this level could support a recovery toward the psychological 23,000 mark. However, recovery attempts are likely to face selling pressure at higher levels. Momentum indicators remain firmly bearish, with the RSI in the mid-20s, indicating deeply oversold conditions, while the MACD remains deeply negative, confirming persistent downside momentum. The near-term technical setup remains weak.

Bank Nifty

Bank Nifty opened with a gap-down near the 54,284 mark and extended its losses through the session, underperforming the broader market amid heightened selling pressure across banking stocks. The index failed to sustain the 54,300–54,400 zone, which had been the key level to watch for stabilization, and slipped through intermediate support levels as selling pressure persisted. A decisive break below the 53,800–53,500 support zone could further intensify selling pressure and drag the index toward the 53,200–53,000 region.

On the upside, 54,300–54,400 has now reverted to an immediate resistance zone. A sustained move back above this band would be required to ease near-term pressure and open the way toward the previous higher trading range. Until then, recovery attempts are likely to remain vulnerable to selling pressure. Momentum remains weak, with market breadth heavily skewed toward decliners. The near-term technical outlook remains bearish.