Nifty 50 prediction today

Market View

NIFTY 50

NSE

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Short term - Technical Outlook
Nifty 50 has decisively slipped below the key 25,000 psychological mark,indicating sustained near-term pressure.The 24,900–25,000 band now acts as an important resistance zone, and a sustained reclaim of this band is essential for any meaningful relief rally. Unless the index manages to close firmly back above this range, the breakdown structure continues to favor further downside. Immediate support is placed near 24,600, while a deeper cushion is seen in the 24,200–24,000 zone in case panic selling intensifies. Momentum indicators remain weak, with the RSI around 36, approaching oversold territory but without any confirmed reversal signals. The MACD is firmly negative with a widening histogram, indicating dominant bearish momentum, and prices continue to trade well below all key short-term EMAs. Overall bias remains bearish with elevated downside risk. A sell-on-rise strategy is favored, while only a sustained move above 25,300 would signal a potential stabilization or improvement in structure, especially amid ongoing geopolitical, oil, and tariff-driven volatility.

 

Short term Research Report Call
Buy Above: 25000 | Targets: 25080, 25180, 25250 | Stop-loss: 24950
Sell Below: 24600 | Targets: 24530, 24430, 24340 | Stop-loss: 24700
 

Short term Chart

Long term - Technical Outlook

Nifty 50 has reaffirmed short-term weakness following sharp decline. The immediate and critical support zone lies at 24,200–24,000, with the 24,000 mark acting as a key psychological level. A clear breakdown below this level may intensify selling pressure and drag the index toward 23,800–23,400. On the upside, the 25,000–25,300 band now acts as a key resistance area, as earlier support has turned into a barrier; a sustained move above this range is essential for near-term stabilization. Momentum indicators remain weak, with the RSI hovering around 36, signaling fading strength, while MACD sell signals continue to reflect prevailing bearish momentum. Overall, the downside bias remains intact unless the index posts a decisive close above the 25,000–25,300 region.

 

Long term Research Report Call
Buy Above: 25000 | Targets: 25080, 25180, 25250 | Stop-loss: 24950
Sell Below: 24600 | Targets: 24530, 24430, 24340 | Stop-loss: 24700
 

Long term Chart

Market View

March 4th 2026

Indian equity markets opened with sharp losses, underscoring a decisive risk-off shift as the deepening conflict in the Middle East drove crude oil prices higher and reignited concerns over India’s import bill and inflation trajectory. The surge in energy costs has amplified macro anxieties, prompting investors to pare exposure across risk assets.

Selling pressure was broad-based, with most sectoral indices barring IT trading sharply lower, reflecting a wave of defensive repositioning rather than isolated profit-taking. Elevated volatility, persistent trade uncertainties and intensifying geopolitical risks continue to weigh on sentiment. Unless there is visible de-escalation in the Middle East or supportive macro developments, markets are likely to remain volatile in the near term, with participants favoring capital preservation over aggressive positioning. 

 

Nifty 50

Nifty 50 opened with a sharp gap-down near the 24,400 zone, falling nearly 450–500 points from the previous close, thereby extending the prevailing negative momentum. Consecutive gap-down openings signal sustained selling pressure and fragile near-term sentiment. Immediate support is placed around 24,200, and a decisive break below this level could accelerate the decline toward the 24,000 psychological mark. On the upside, the 24,500–24,600 zone, corresponding to the gap region, is expected to act as the first layer of resistance. Momentum indicators remain deeply negative, with RSI hovering near 30, indicating oversold conditions but without any confirmed reversal signal yet. Meanwhile, MACD continues to reflect strong bearish momentum. The overall structure indicates elevated downside risk in the near term, and sentiment may remain pressured unless the index manages a meaningful recovery and sustains above key resistance levels on a closing basis. 

 

Bank Nifty

Bank Nifty also opened with a gap-down, mirroring the broader market pressure. Immediate support is placed within the 58,330–58,000 band, which previously acted as an important demand zone during early February. A sustained breakdown below this region could extend the decline toward 57,800 if selling pressure intensifies. On the upside, near-term resistance is placed around 59,000, followed by a stronger hurdle in the 60,600–60,900 range. A decisive reclaim of these levels would be necessary to improve the broader structure and potentially pave the way toward the 61,000 zone. Momentum indicators remain weak, with RSI around 36, approaching oversold territory, while MACD continues to reflect prevailing negative undertones. In the absence of a clear reversal signal, the overall setup continues to suggest downside vulnerability in the short term.

Resistance 24,500

Market View

Support 24,300

FII & DII Activities

Particular

FIIs

DIIs

Net Purchase/ Sales (Cr)

2 Mar 2026

-3,295.64

+8,593.87

MTD-May (Cr)

March

-3,295.64

+8,593.87

Global Market

March 4th 2026

NASDAQ

USA

22,516.69

-232.17   -1.02

4th March

Dow Jones

USA

48,501.27

-403.51   -0.83

4th March

FTSE

UK

10,547.82

63.69   0.61

4th March

DAX

GERMAN

24,184.74

394.09   1.66

4th March

GIFT Nifty

Singapore

24,636

-1   0

4th March

NIKKEI 225

Japan

54,245.54

-2,033.51   -3.61

4th March

Shanghai

China

4,082.47

-40.2   -0.98

4th March

S&P 500

USA

6,816.63

-64.99   -0.94

4th March

Market at Closing

March 4th 2026

Top Gainers

JINDRILL

597

74.85  14.33

EBANKNIFTY

69.39

9.03  14.96

RUBYMILLS

203.88

33.98  20

AAKASH

9.99

1.66  19.93

Top Losers

ICICIBANK

1,368.5

-5.5  -0.4

HDFCBANK

869

-10.4  -1.18

AUBANK

948.8

-2.45  -0.26

YESBANK

19.99

-0.19  -0.94

Technicals

Buy Above

24510.31

R1

24575.66

R2

24643.98

R3

24765.77

Stop Loss

24433.08

Pivot

24462.78

(All values are in INR)

Sell Below

24415.26

S1

24349.90

S2

24281.58

S3

24159.79

Stop Loss

24492.49

Pivot Basic Levels

R4R3R2R1PivotS1S2S3S4
Classic

25074.60

24917.22

24759.83

24620.17

24462.78

24323.12

24165.73

24026.07

23886.40

Woodie

25358.36

24926.08

24764.26

24629.03

24467.21

24331.98

24170.16

24034.93

23576.06

Camarilla

24643.88

24562.19

24534.96

24507.73

24462.78

24453.27

24426.04

24398.81

24317.12

Moving Averages

Bullish

Bearish

5 Day

20646.83

10 Day

19786.27

20 Day

19122.05

50 Day

18512.59

100 Day

18179.30

200 Day

17868.45

Momentum Oscillators

Bullish

2

Bearish

1

Neutral

4

Stoch RSI

71.12

ROC

-4.68

Ultimate

39.47

Williams

-88.92

CCI

-231.00

Stochastic

13.56

RSI

67.12

Trend Oscillators & Volatility

Bullish

1

Bearish

0

Neutral

0

ATR

130.07

Low Volatility

MACD

360.93

Bullish

Nifty Stock List

Stock NameCMPChange (%)Market Cap (Cr.)SectorPiotroski Score

RELIANCE

1345

-0.9573

1820861.87

Oil & Gas

7 / 9

HDFCBANK

604.5

1.0616

1336498.19

Banks

3 / 9

HDFCBANK

868.65

-1.2224

1336498.19

Banks

3 / 9

BHARTIARTL

1905.9

1.7457

1162048.39

Telecom

8 / 9

SBIN

1174.5

-1.2942

1084136

Banks

5 / 9

Market Commentary

Disclaimer: Investment in securities/commodities market subject to market risk, read all the related documents carefully before investing/trading.

Analyst Certification: I/We, Ayushi Jain Research Analyst, authors, and the name subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. NISM Research Analyst registration number – NISM-201900015194.

Frequently asked questions

What is NIFTY 50?

NIFTY50 is a benchmark index representing the top 50 companies listed in National Stock Exchange (NSE). Their weightage is based on free-float Market Capitalization.

Can I trade NIFTY50?

How are stocks selected to be a part of Nifty 50?

How does the closing price of NIFTY50 determined?

What are Nifty Futures and Options?

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